Psssssst...... Wanna know why Dublin house prices are rising?

Arrears continue to rise:
 http://www.japlandic.com/2013/08/a-rocket-to-uranus.html

Mortgage lending continues to fall:
http://www.japlandic.com/2013/08/a-new-hope-nope.html

Yet... Dublin prices are apparently in a bubble:
http://uk.reuters.com/article/2013/08/28/ireland-economy-property-idUKL6N0GS3A920130828

How is this possible?

Easy - when volumes are so low, simply sell a couple of multi-million Euro properties and skew the data.

Taking the numbers for Dublin from the Property Price Register for "July 2011 - June 2012" and "July 2012 - June 2013", we can match changes in sales volume to changes in sales value and see the almost perfect correlation (and the one obvious aberration!):


The numbers are here:

And here are the three years graphed:

 - by numbers of sales

- by volume of sales

It's only a bubble if you're selling your multi-million Euro property!

Source data:
https://www.propertypriceregister.ie

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